Recently added articles from Regional Outlook:
INTRODUCTION
Jan 01, 2008; ... Karl Popper's famous metaphors of "clouds" and "clocks" are often invoked to describe the nature of the social world, and the degree to which it lends itself to that much-celebrated goal of prediction. While some conceive the social world as clouds, implying contingency and unpredictability, ...
PREFACE
Jan 01, 2008; ... The first Regional Outlook had its inception in 1992, offering a concise analysis of the political and economic trends in Southeast Asia and the wider region. Since then, an annual succession of this publication has tracked many political and economic developments and their implications on the ...
SOUTHEAST ASIAN SECURITY: AN OVERVIEW
Jan 01, 2008; ... Southeast Asian security is shaped both by its external Asian environment and by dynamics within Southeast Asia. This essay deals briefly with each dimension in turn. The region's external security environment is becoming more complex with the rise of new powers like China and India, a ...
ASEAN AT FORTY: PERCEPTION AND REALITY
Jan 01, 2008; ... ASEAN is forty years old this year. Although ASEAN has often been praised as the second most successful regional organization in the world, after the European Union, the truth isthat policy-makers in Washington and Brussels do not take it seriously and continue to disrespect the institution. Let ...
CHINA'S RELATIONS WITH SOUTHEAST ASIA
Jan 01, 2008; ... Relations between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) have entered into a higher gear since the dawn of the new century. The key factors behind this acceleration of relations are booming economic ties, regular high-level ...
INDIA'S GROWING PROFILE IN SOUTHEAST ASIA
Jan 01, 2008; ... The constants of geography, traditional trade relations, and cross-cultural linkages have been instrumental in forging harmonious relations between India and Southeast Asia. Significantly, Southeast Asia had figured in the strategic thinking of ancient Indian ruling elites and today, in the ...
THE ASEAN-10
Jan 01, 2008; ... Brunei Darussalam There is no indication of any change in Brunei's political direction and outlook for the corning year. In the short term (one to three years) it will be "business" as usual. The Head of State and Government, Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah, at sixty-one, is still as ...
REGIONAL ECONOMIC TRENDS
Jan 01, 2008; ... Economic growth in Southeast Asia is estimated to be at 6.1 per cent y/y (year-on-year) in 2007 (vis-à-vis 6 per cent y/y in 2006), maintaining around the same for 2008 as well (ADB 2007). Exceptional performance in both Singapore and the Philippines is propelling the growth in the region. The ...
REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND THE ASEAN CHARTER
Jan 01, 2008; ... The extent of ASEAN economic integration is most conveniently measured by the share of intra-ASEAN trade in total ASEAN trade. Regarding the glass as half-empty, ASEAN critics harp on the fact that that share has never amounted to more than 25 per cent, much lower than in the European Union or ...
ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT
Jan 01, 2008; ... The figures are crystal clear. The same goes for the message they convey. Over the next twenty-five years - to 2030 - world consumption of energy will rise by approximately 55 per cent. Most of the rise will come from Asia excluding Japan, with an annual increase of 3.2 per cent, equal to a ...
EVOLVING REGIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE IN EAST ASIA
Jan 01, 2008; ... 1. Introduction: Key Issues Ten years have passed since the Asian financial crisis devastated not only the currency values and the financial systems of Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand, but also their overall economic activity, social conditions and, in some countries, political ...
THE GMS ECONOMIC CORRIDORS
Jan 01, 2008; ... The development of economic corridors is becoming an important strategy for accelerating economic growth and integration in the GMS. Transport routes, which provide the backbone for such corridors, are effectively connecting production units and markets, thus stimulating economic activity, and ...
THE ASEAN-10
Jan 01, 2008; ... Brunei Darussalam The Brunei economy has been recording positive growth rates for the last few years. The labour force participation rate has also been increasing from 69.9 per cent in 2004 to 71.7 per cent in 2006. Unemployment fell to 4 per cent as at end 2006 compared with 4.3 per ...
TERRORISM IN THE REGION: CHANGING ALLIANCES, NEW DIRECTIONS
Jan 01, 2006; ... Indonesia and the Philippines remain the main bases of terrorist activity in the region, but jihadist groups are fragmenting, regrouping, and mutating, making the task of mapping them ever more difficult. The violence in Southern Thailand remains a major source of concern, but there has been no ...
PREFACE
Jan 01, 2006; ... Regional Outlook offers a succinct analysis of political and economic trends in Southeast Asian countries and their prospects for the forthcoming two years. Scholarly, yet written in an accessible style, it is designed for the busy executive, professional, diplomat, journalist, and interested ...
THE INAUGURAL EAST ASIAN SUMMIT: THE FIRST STEP IN A LONG JOURNEY
Jan 01, 2006; ... At the time of going to press, the East Asian Summit was scheduled to be held on 14 December 2005 in Kuala Lumpur. It proposed to bring together the ten ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) countries, China, Japan, and South Korea (the countries in the ASEAN+3 grouping), as well as ...
THE ASIAN SECURITY ENVIRONMENT
Jan 01, 2006; ... More of the Same As Asia grapples with a growing list of new security threats, old issues continue to affect the broad security environment in Southeast Asia. The threats of terrorism were raised a few notches higher with the suicide bombings in Bali on 1 October 2005. The Bali attacks - ...
INTRODUCTION
Jan 01, 2006; ... As is the long-standing pattern in the ASEAN region, politics in some of its member countries are rambunctious and unpredictable while in others, nobody is expecting any significant change. This picture emerges in the ten country reports on politics. In the Philippines, President Gloria ...
THE ASEAN-10
Jan 01, 2006; ... Brunei Darussalam In May 2005 the Sultan of Brunei announced a long-awaited cabinet reshuffle, which incorporated a number of innovations. The first innovation is the institution of two new cabinet positions: senior minister and minister for energy in the Prime Minister's Office. Crown ...
THE THREAT OF MARITIME TERRORISM AND PIRACY
Jan 01, 2006; ... Regional efforts at countering maritime piracy along the Straits of Malacca have occurred at a breathtaking pace. The littoral states of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore whose maritime boundaries overlap each other along this 960-kilometre waterway, launched their latest offensive in the form ...