Article: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things. .(Book Review)

Ray C. Fair. 2002. Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. 166 pp. Index. ISBN 0-8047-4509-9

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things is a captivating account of how social scientists attempt to predict future quantitative events using past trends and quantitative relationships. It is geared towards the non-specialist college reader. The book starts out with Fair carefully explaining how prediction can be possible in the social sciences, and his explanations are quite good. He offers a mostly verbal explanation of regression, standards errors, and significance but all the time brings the ideas home ...

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