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Article: Epidemiologic determinants for modeling pneumonic plague outbreaks.(Research)
- Article from:
- Emerging Infectious Diseases
- Article date:
- April 1, 2004
- Author:
CopyrightCOPYRIGHT 2004 U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
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Pneumonic plague poses a potentially increasing risk to humans in plague nonendemic regions either as a consequence of an aerosolized release or through importation of the disease. Pneumonic plague is person-to-person transmissible. We provide a quantitative assessment of transmissibility based on past outbreaks that shows that the average number of secondary cases per primary case ([R.sub.0]) was 1.3 (variance = 3.1), assuming a geometric probability distribution, prior to outbreak control measures. We also show that the latent and infectious periods can be approximated by using lognormal distributions with means (SD) of 4.3 (1.8) and 2.5 (1.2) days. Based on this ...
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Transcript: Analysis: Pneumonic plague outbreak in the ...
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... ... NPR) 02-18-2005 Analysis: Pneumonic plague outbreak in the Democratic Republic ... Democratic Republic of Congo have died of pneumonic plague, the most contagious form of plague ... could fit in the case definition of pneumonic plague. And like that, they catch up around ...
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