Article: The granite prize; Swing states: New Hampshire.(Guessing which way New Hampshire will go)

Welcome to prosperous, truculent New Hampshire, where newcomers in the south are upsetting predictions

EVERY fourth January, when it holds the first presidential primary, New Hampshire becomes the centre of American politics. Presidential hopefuls brave frigid temperatures to court the state's 900,000-odd voters. And then they disappear. New Hampshire looks too small and generally too Republican to warrant much attention. Not this year. The Democrats think they can snatch a state that George Bush won by just 1.27% in 2000 and, in a close election, its four electoral-college votes could prove crucial.

New Hampshire has long been a bastion of Republicanism ...

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