Article: Modeling helpful but no substitute for underwriting.

Byline: REGIS COCCIA

MONTE CARLO, Monaco-As catastrophe modeling companies quickly revised their estimates of insured damage from Hurricane Katrina earlier this month, questions about the adequacy of the models arose during the annual Rendez-Vous de Septembre reinsurance gathering.

Risk Management Solutions, for example, issued an estimate ranging up to $60 billion after giving an initial estimate of $25 billion shortly after the storm. EQECAT and AIR Worldwide Corp. issued estimates ranging from $15 billion to $25 billion.

Sources interviewed in Monte Carlo agreed that modeling risks is important but stressed that models are not a substitute ...

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