Article: The futures of flu: an economist and an infectious disease doc launch futures market for flu.(UPFRONT: News, Updates and Other Emerging Strategies from Around the World)

Business owners and public-health experts might have the tool they have been waiting for to help them gauge the likelihood of an influenza pandemic. Called the Avian Flu Market, the tool is a prediction futures market that taps into the knowledge of health-care workers around the world to help anticipate the course of the dreaded H5N1 strain of influenza.

"Our hypothesis is that there still is a lot of information, and different people have different pieces of information from different professional backgrounds that may be helpful," says Dr. Phil Polgreen, an infectious disease physician, reed-school professor and medical director of the project. "Markets are ...

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