Magazine article from our research archive:

Los Angeles faces a dangerous quake debt. (earthquake deficit in Southern California)

With memories of last January's devastating earthquake fresh in their minds, Los Angeles residents may not feel geologically lucky. But they should, suggest results of three new studies.

Judging by the known faults lacing the crust beneath the city, geologist James F. Dolan and his colleagues conclude that Los Angeles has been dodging seismic bullets ever since its birth. Although stress has accumulated steadily under the metropolitan region, the city has suffered no large earthquakes and only two moderate ones in the last 2 centuries, they report in the JAn. 13 Science. In other words, Los Angeles has accrued a quake debt that must eventually come due.

"The basic conclusion ...

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