|
|
Article: Future life expectancy in Australia, Europe, Japan and North America.(RESEARCH NOTE)
- Article from:
- Journal of Population Research
- Article date:
- May 1, 2007
- Author:
CopyrightCOPYRIGHT 2007 Springer. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
|
Human life expectancy has risen in most developed countries over the last century, causing the observed demographic shifts. Babel, Bomsdorf and Schmidt (forthcoming) introduce a stochastic mortality model using panel data procedures which distinguishes between a common time effect and a common age effect of mortality evolvement. Using this mortality model, the present paper provides forecasts of future life expectancy for 17 countries divided into 12 regions: Australia, Alps, Bene, Canada, England and Wales, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Scandinavia and the United States of America. We consider (traditional) period life expectancies as well as cohort life ...
<0 indicates a decline of [m.sub.x](t), whereas [[beta].sub.x]>