Article: A story with three endings. (possible scenarios for survival of Vietnam's Communist Party amid market reforms)(Survey of Vietnam.)(Brief Article)

VIETNAM, on a closer look, is one country. Despite civil war, regional disparities and growing differences of wealth, its national identity is strong. Useful as nationalism was for Vietnam in its recent heroic period, it is going to be less help-- particularly in its anti-foreigner guise--in Vietnam's present struggle to overcome poverty and catch up with richer, less backward neighbours.

Vietnam's one power, the Communist Party, looks unbudgeable, but not unchangeable. Despite the name, it has scrapped pure communism and, like China, is pursuing market Leninism: a mixture of capitalist economics and communist politics. In the end this combination cannot work. The ...

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