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Mass conversions.(IN BOX)

When the Economist ran God's obituary in its 1999 millennium issue, many readers surely considered it a tad premature. After all, from the ballot box to the battlefield, the almighty shows little sign of disappearing today. By 2050, 80 percent of the world is expected to belong to one of the four main religions--Buddhism, Christianity, Hinduism, and Islam--up from 73 percent in 2005. How these faiths spread, stagnate, or turn more conservative will greatly influence the world's economies, conflicts, and public life.

One of the factors most critical to determining the religious complexion of a society is its frequency of conversions. Using global surveys of religious ...

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