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Has the behavior of inflation and long-term inflation expectations changed?
- Article from:
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Economic Review (Kansas City)
- Article date:
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January 1, 2008
- Author:
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;
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Copyright informationCOPYRIGHT 2008 Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
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From 1975 to 1980, inflation in core (nonfood and non-energy) consumer prices rose sharply as crude oil prices more than tripled. Yet, as crude oil prices quadrupled from late 2001 to 2007, core consumer price inflation remained essentially flat. Some observers have attributed the stability of consumer price inflation in the more recent episode to the influence of long-term inflation expectations. While inflation expectations rose significantly in the second half of the 1970s, they remained largely unchanged from 2001 through 2007. The increased stability of inflation and long-term expectations raises the possibility that the behavior of both variables has fundamentally ...
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