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Assessing the effect of climate change on river flow using general circulation models and hydrological modelling--application to the Chaudiere River, Quebec, Canada.(Technical report)

Abstract: As part of a wider study on the adaptation of agricultural land use to climate change (CC), this paper presents an assessment of possible future hydrological regimes of the Chaudiere River watershed, Quebec, Canada. We first present a review of the various methods used to integrate outputs of General Circulation Models (GCMs) into hydrological models that are applied at a local scale. Following this review, the delta method, statistical downscaling, and a combination of both methods were selected for this investigation. Data from different GCMs (in the case of the delta method) corresponding to different gas emission scenarios and simulation members were also ...

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