Article: Managing temporary capital inflows: lessons from Asia and Latin America.(Distinguished Lecture)(Report)

1. THE NATURE OF CAPITAL FLOWS IN THE 1990s

As witnessed by Mexico and Argentina in 1995 and by the Southern Cone countries of Latin America in the early 1980s, the macroeconomic adjustment to a sudden reversal of foreign capital flows can be extremely painful. There are at least four major reasons why governments and central banks should care about the sustainability of the capital flows which their economies can tap abroad:

* First, international capital markets are highly imperfect due to enforcement problems and information asymmetries. Trade in financial assets, unlike trade in goods, is incomplete and intertemporal, based on promises to pay in the ...

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