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Article: Economic implications of Mexico's sudden demographic transition: the next 20 years offer particular risks and opportunities.
- Article from:
- Business Economics
- Article date:
- July 1, 2008
- Author:
CopyrightCOPYRIGHT 2008 The National Association for Business Economists. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
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Mexico is in the midst of an unprecedented demographic transition that is changing the size and age structure of its population. The most salient demographic change--and clearly the precursor of most other demographic changes--is the abrupt decline in the country's fertility rate from 6.5 in the early 1970s to the current 2.2 mark, one of the fastest declines in the world. This dramatic reduction of fertility rates has created a "boom generation" that is currently in its prime working years and that will gradually age and retire. As Mexico experiences sub-replacement fertility rates over the next decades, old-age dependency ratios will escalate to unprecedented levels, ...
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