Article: An attempt to forecast hospital market share using admission data.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The purpose of this study was to develop a model to forecast market share before actual market share data become available to a hospital system. The typical data lag is about six to nine months, and market share information is often based on incomplete admissions data. Therefore, this exploratory analysis of admissions for all hospitals in a Texas hospital system was performed as an attempt to improve the accuracy and timeliness of market share data.

We used four data sources: (1) Texas Health Care Information Council Public Use Data File, (2) Solucient, (3) internal data on admissions for three small nearby hospitals not reporting to ...

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