Article: A clouded crystal ball.(support for dance companies)(Column)

January 1991. The Gulf War was beginning. The arts community was in a lull between battles over the National Endowment for the Arts. President George Bush had a soaring approval rating. Dance was just beginning to crawl out of a 1989-90 financial trough reflected in the fact that more than half of Dance/USA's member companies were dealing with operating and accumulated deficits. Touring was picking up. In other words, the picture was muddled. It was hard to predict where things would turb next.

At a Dance/USA managers' council meeting that month, I created a "disaster scenario," a list of possibilities to shake people into a fresh awareness of the changing ...

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