Article: Below-average hurricane season forecast. (Colorado State Univ researchers' predictions for tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin between June and November 1998)

The 1997-98 record El Nino is expected to dissipate before the most active part of the 1998 hurricane season, but other global climate factors could produce slightly below-average hurricane activity, hurricane researcher William Gray, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, forecasts. He and his colleagues predict nine tropical storms will form in the Atlantic Basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. From those storms, five hurricanes will evolve, and two will go on to become intense hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes, and 2.1 intense hurricanes form annually.

The team's 1998 forecast comes on the ...

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