Abstract. A spatially explicit model (MIGRATE) was used to investigate the effects of habitat loss and fragmentation on the ability of species to migrate in response to climate change. Illustrative simulations were run using parameters that represent the reproductive and dispersal characteristics of the wind-dispersed tree Tilia cordata (small-leaved lime). Hierarchically structured landscapes with different patch sizes and overall habitat suitability levels were generated at a 1-km resolution for a 200 X 800 km area. Simulated migration rates slowed markedly when habitat availability fell below ~25% of the landscape area, especially in landscapes composed of fewer larger ...

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