RECRUITMENT FAILURE, LIFE HISTORIES, AND LONG-TERM DECLINE OF CARIBBEAN CORALS.(Statistical Data Included)

TERENCE P. HUGHES [1]

JASON E. TANNER [2]

Abstract. Population decline, local extinction, and recovery are profoundly influenced by variation in demography and life-history traits. In open populations, changes in patterns of recruitment may also have a major influence on the size of local populations, particularly for short-lived organisms. We examine here the demographic processes underlying a slow decline of corals on Jamaican reefs, where coral cover has decreased by fourfold over a 16-yr period. We divided the study into three approximately equal intervals (1977-1982, 1982-1987, and 1987-1993) and constructed size-based transition matrices for each of three ...

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