Article: West German banks: gloves off. (analysis of banking industry in West Germany) (Finance)

NEW YORK

DOOMSTERS, bored with the gyrations of America's monthly trade numbers, can now become mesmerised by the shape of the yield curve-the graph which traces yields on securities of varying maturity. Since late last year yields on 30-year American Treasury bonds have fallen from 10% to just under 9%, while three-month Treasury bills have risen from 6% to more than 8%, narrowing the gap to 70 basis points from nearly 400 basis points. This is America's flattest yield curve for seven years, and, some argue, could signal a recession.

Investors normally demand higher yields on longer maturity securities to compensate them for the greater risk. But the ...

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