Article: Analysis; Energy plan unlikely to fare better than predecessors; As an adviser to Carter and Clinton points out: "With each oil shock, there is a temporary public clamor for action" followed by modest changes.(NEWS)

Byline: Bob von Sternberg; Staff Writer

President Bush touts his energy plan as a strategy to deal with a bleak picture of blackouts and skyrocketing fuel costs this summer, but such a crisis is probably years away in Minnesota and the rest of Midwest, and most of the proposals would have little day-to-day effect on most people's lives.

The 105-point plan, announced Thursday in St. Paul, is less ambitious than some of the energy blueprints offered by his predecessors in recent decades, recycling many of their ideas.

And if the fate of those plans provides any guidance, what ends up being implemented will probably be even more modest.

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