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Article: South Africa HIV forecast: bad and getting worse.(Knight Ridder Newspapers)
- Article from:
- Knight Ridder/Tribune News Service
- Article date:
- June 18, 2001
- Author:
CopyrightCOPYRIGHT 2001 Knight-Ridder/Tribune News Service. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
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CAPE TOWN, South Africa _ Nobody believed Peter Doyle when he warned more than 10 years ago that AIDS would ravage South Africa.
Doyle, then the head actuary at Metropolitan Life Insurance, used his own painstakingly gathered information to predict with uncanny accuracy the coming devastation.
The numbers show the swath the disease has cut since then. In 1987, two of every 10,000 women at South African pre-natal clinics were HIV-positive. By 1990, the number had grown to seven of every thousand. By 1999, two of every ten pregnant South Africans were HIV-positive.
An estimated 4.7 million South Africans are now HIV positive, more than in any ...