Article: Defending Taiwan. (Commentary & Reply).

To the Editor:

In his article "What if ... 'China Attacks Taiwan!'" (Parameters, Autumn 2001), Richard Russell argues that our intelligence may underestimate the growing invasion capabilities of the PRC, misjudge Chinese invasion strategy, and overlook Chinese perception of a short window of opportunity, and hence internal pressures for an early attack. A decision to attack would not be telegraphed by the time-consuming massing of an invasion fleet. The Chinese are masters of deception and proponents of suspense. The first step would be a surprise missile and air assault designed to destroy Taiwan's ability to interdict invasion by sea and air, which could then ...

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