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Article: Determinants of multifamily mortgage default.
- Article from:
- Real Estate Economics
- Article date:
- September 22, 2002
- Author:
CopyrightCOPYRIGHT 2002 American Real Estate & Economics Association. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)
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Option-based models of mortgage default posit that the central measure of default risk is the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. We argue, however, that an unrecognized problem with extending the basic option model to existing multifamily and commercial mortgages is that key variables in the option model are endogenous to the loan origination and property sale process. This endogeneity implies, among other things, that no empirical relationship may be observed between default and LTV. Since lenders may require lower LTVs in order to mitigate risk, mortgages with low and moderate LTVs may be as likely to default as those with high LTVs. Mindful of this risk endogeneity and its ...