Article: How the doom-mongers always get it wrong and Nature has the last word; After an oil tanker is holed and 'experts' predict disaster . . .

Byline: GEOFFREY LEAN

YET again a foul black tide laps to shore. Yet again sea birds, caked in oil, stare balefully out of the television scenes and newspaper front pages. And yet again the airwaves and presses are full of warnings of environmental catastrophe.

But, unspeakably awful as it is, the oil spill now spoiling 60 miles of the northwestern coast of Spain is unlikely to bear out the forecasts of ecological doom.

The most dramatic environmental effects of even worse incidents in the past have disappeared remarkably fast, leaving more than a suspicion that pressure groups are hyping up the disaster to gain publicity and support.

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