Article: Large Trade Surpluses Possible With Soviet Union, China, India; Study Concludes Reform Could Help U.S. Economy

America's trade with three economically underdeveloped giants-the Soviet Union, China and India-could balloon from $23 billion in 1988 to $242 billion in 2010, generating large surpluses and dramatically regenerating the efficiency of the U.S. economy, according to a new study.

"Economic Reform in Three Giants," published last week by a Washington think tank, the Overseas Development Council (ODC), says this optimistic result depends on a continuation of economic reforms in the Soviet Union, China and India, as well as the commitment of the West to "steer history in the right direction."

The study assumes U.S.-Soviet trade will grow at an annual rate of 20 percent until the year 2000 ...

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