Article: New Middle East War Seen Unlikely;Threats, Saber-Rattling Abound, but Deterrents Curb Both Sides

Rumors of war are sweeping through a tense Middle East, but the region's military and political balance weighs against the outbreak of a new Arab-Israeli conflict, in the view of a wide range of officials and experts.

Stirred by the breakdown of the peace process, the mass immigration of Soviet Jews to Israel or their own political ambitions, the leaders of every major Arab state facing Israel have issued warnings of war in recent weeks. Most conspicuously, Iraq's Saddam Hussein has repeatedly threatened to "burn half of Israel" with chemical weapons if attacked, and he added last week that war is "inevitable" if Israel does not change its policies.

The saber-rattling has been taken ...

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