Article: Glaxo suffers as drugs giants are cut to size

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

Earnings at the drugs giant GlaxoSmithKline will almost certainly be down this year. With the stock falling from 1385p in January, investors are wising up to the fact that pharmaceutical stocks are not a safe haven, given patent challenges and the rise of generics.

Dresdner Kleinwort says that at 1065p, GSK trades at 10 times estimated 2009 earnings, fair given a sector weighted average of 10.7. It thinks, too, that emerging market potential means the drugs industry is 30 per cent undervalued.

However, the patent for GSK's asthma blockbuster Advair expires in 2010, and there's no new blockbuster in the offing. Investors will not have a happy time with GSK, short term. Sell.

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