Article: Predicting earthquakes

Lightning, nervous dogs, and water temperature all offer hints, but scientists at a British conference this month have had to admit they are still a long way from being able to predict when and where an earthquake will occur. Their swapping notes at the conference, attended by earthquake experts from many countries, has brought them scarce encouragement. ``There has been little progress in over 25 years of research into earthquake prediction, where we use prediction in the classical sense of specifying the magnitude, time, and place,'' Stuart Crampin, a professor of geology and geophysics at the University of Edinburgh, says. ``Indeed, large earthquakes seem likely to be statistically ...

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