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Article: Labour's got a swing in its step
- Article from:
- The Independent (London, England)
- Article date:
- April 20, 1997
- Author:
CopyrightCopyright 1997 The Independent - London. Provided by ProQuest LLC. (Hide copyright information)
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The polls still fail to move. No poll this campaign has given
the Conservatives more than 34 per cent of the vote. None - other
than those by ICM - has given Labour less than 48 per cent. Even
the lowest ICM Labour figure, published in last Wednesday's
Guardian, was 45 per cent, and gave Labour a 14-point lead over the
Conservatives.
But on 2 May no one will care how many votes the parties have
gained. What will matter will be the number of seats. After each
poll, there is usually a "projected" figure, detailing the number
of seats that such a result would give. It goes something like
this: "If everyone votes as they say, the effect of the latest
poll, given a uniform swing, would be to ...