Article: News and Views; Why Is the SAT a Poor Predictor of Black College Student Graduation Rates?

Let's say hypothetically that the average SAT racial scoring gap between whites and blacks entering the freshman class at a particular prestigious four-year college is 15 percent. In fact, the 15 percent figure is essentially correct for most elite colleges in the United States.

Despite this SAT performance deficit, it turns out that blacks are now graduating from this college at a rate of more than 90 percent, only slightly below the graduation rate for whites.

This apparent inconsistency between SAT scores and graduation rates suggests several possible explanations:

- After four years at this selective college the educational achievements of the black students admitted to the college as ...

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